Currency Market Archives - Page 2 of 3

Monetary Policy in China

June 10, 2014September 9, 2009 by HotTrader

When China’s monetary policy is analyzed, one thing stands out presently – there is a continued incline in importation of products into China at a rate higher than the exports growth. Secondly, after the peg of the Chinese Yuan to the dollar, the Chinese currency’s real trade-weighted value declined. This is notable mostly since the beginning months of 2002, at a time when the US dollar reached its peak value.

China is a great economy in the making. At this point in time, the metrics of China’s currency are largely undervalued and others unlisted. China’s Current Account has been growing at a steep surplus since 2007. For instance, the current account ran at US$17 billion last budget year as compared to US$4.6 billion in 2001. That is giant leap in just six years. This ensues in a 1.5 percent growth in Gross Domestic Product, an outstanding feat for such a massive economy. To realize how big the growth is in China, as other countries go under in the global economic crises, let us compare two more years, 2003 and 2004. China’s economy ran a trade surplus on the Current Account, of an amazing US$32 billion in the year 2004 as compared to a surplus of US$25.5 billion in 2003.

This is indicative of some thing being done right in China’s economy. Experts feel that this kind of growth rate is unsustainable due to the heightened pace as evidenced by the

Emerging Facts on the Latin finance world

June 10, 2014September 7, 2009 by HotTrader

Some time in September 2008, Brazil’s president, Luiz Ignácio Lula da Silva was asked by journalists what he thought about the global economic crises we are going through. He replied by saying, “When people ask me about an economic crisis in the world, I tell them, go ask George Bush. After all, it is his crisis and not mine.” Such has been more or less the attitude of the Latin finance world to contemporary issues and developments. Whether described as indifference or whatever else, Latin finance has had a hands-off policy of administrating growth and development for a long time now.

It is easy to understand why this delusion has been perpetrated in the region about the non-volatile status of their financial institutions. Policymakers and key economists on the world stage have been full of praise for Latin America’s increasing financial independence and industrial maturity. Of repute has been the fiscal discipline, sustained economic growth, reducing external debt and aid levels, high commodity prices, growing international and national reserves, strengthened governance, and the national and corporate balance sheets health. These developments are amiable and deserving of praise indeed. They are indeed very promising in the race to place Latin America on a firm economic footing by and by. The only problem is that without a change of approach and policy, Latin markets might find themselves irrelevant, and very soon at that, in the face of new developments in the world finance circles.

An instance of this myopic indifference was experienced immediately the credit crisis hit the U.S. financial markets. Most experts and public officials expressed confidence that

Contextualizing the Risks of Money Markets

June 10, 2014September 5, 2009 by HotTrader

Over the years, money market funds have been the safest means of investing some cash for a long term portfolio entry or for those who want a safe place to hold their money. But recent global developments, with the world economy sagging on its knees, experts have started to point out that there are risks in money markets too. This has shed the previous thoughtline that money markets are a risk-free investment avenue. You can no longer hold it for granted that your investment is safe, just because you are in the money markets. In fact, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) decrees that while investor losses entrusted to money market funds are rare, they are very possible.

However, just as they have become risky to an extent, they have also gained on the rate of interests and profits over the last one decade. Contemporary money markets can triple your initial capital within a few years, and give an impetus to real wealth. Similarly though, just as they are profitable, they can wreck you financially in just a few hours of mishap. It is wise therefore, that before you load your cash into money markets you ensure that you know not only what they are but also how they work. This will facilitate you to know which money market risks to take and which ones are too dear or foolish to take.

Let us begin by understanding what money markets refer to, as a concept. Simply said, money market funds are

Introduction to The International Monetary Fund

June 10, 2014September 5, 2009 by HotTrader

In a way, the IMF has been successful since it was established back in July, 1944. From its genesis, it has consistently worked to foster optimal global monetary cooperation for the general good of member states. The aim has been to secure the financial stability of world nations and facilitate a mutually benefiting international trade among these nations. This in return could boost both poverty reduction measures and promote high employment. With criticism to the institution considered, the International Monetary Fund has helped instigate a sustainable economic growth in most member states, apart from the third world countries which continue to trade in complete dependence of the international market.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) was a Bretton-Woods brainchild as an international organization that regulated economic policies in member countries that impact on both the exchange rates in the global market and the balance of payments. In playing this role, the International Monetary Fund was charged with the responsibility of stabilizing international exchange rates in a way that could facilitate development in the world economy. Besides that, the IMF became a facility that offered highly leveraged loans to third world countries to aid them in establishing economic independence.

From the original 44 member states, the monetary fund has grown in membership to subscribe 186 nations to date. Kosovo was the last state to gain membership. Most of the nations under the United Nations Charter have

GBP / USD Optimization Trends Using Various Parameters

June 10, 2014August 22, 2009 by HotTrader

Any discussion of a currency pair ought to highlight those parameters that have the ability to stop further losses from accumulating. The question of which parameter to use in the case of the GBP/USD pair, for instance, varies depending on the trading time scale. One may either make use of price differences or the pip expression approach.

Any stop-loss parameter that one uses results in a profound effect on trading returns. Let us compare the entry ranges involved when one is trading in the GBP/USD pair. You will realize that when the entry level becomes more conservative, the maximum gains from the resulting return fail to move to the left. The greatest challenge in forex trading lies in forecasting. Every forecast signal comes with its own challenges since there are so many thresholds to be applied within such a short time.

The volatility of the foreign exchange markets is responsible for difficulties that arise when one tries to analyze the GBP/USD currency pair. Every new quantity that is introduced comes with its own specific effect. One such effect is the tight placement that results in a rather bumpy ride when it comes to returns. The long-term effect of this scenario is a change in the threshold of entering and quitting trade.

Short Term and Long Term Comparison of USD / JPY

June 10, 2014August 22, 2009 by HotTrader

Long-term trends in the strength of the Japanese yen were witnessed for the longest time in the currency’s history only during the period between 1985 and 1995. The only interruption that occurred was during a stint in 1989. This stability resulted in a very amazing 71% rating of the JPY against the USD

Sometimes though, sudden reversals have to occur which might have rather violent outcomes to investors. These reversals occurred in 1990 and later on in 1998. At the present indications, the USD is heading for an over-bought condition when viewed against the JPY. There is therefore a real danger of a sudden trend reversal. The world ought to be aware of these dangers and should prepare accordingly.

One might say that the further we go in the task of predicting the behavior of the Dollar against the Yen, the closer we get to the point of trend reversal. When the present scenario is closely observed, one can clearly see that things are not as bad as they were in 2002. In 2002, there was a multi-year reversal.